Silence that Gun
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 463 (67 on the archive and 396 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 168
Defender wins (German): 295
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
858 | 880 | 47% | 2022-08-14 | Lost |
994 | 1011 | 48% | 2022-06-12 | Lost |
986 | 898 | 62% | 2022-04-28 | Won |
1043 | 986 | 58% | 2022-04-28 | Lost |
970 | 1041 | 40% | 2021-12-09 | Lost |
983 | 983 | 50% | 2021-03-08 | Lost |
967 | 967 | 50% | 2020-12-14 | Won |
949 | 949 | 50% | 2020-08-01 | Won |
1013 | 1000 | 52% | 2020-01-19 | Lost |
1115 | 912 | 76% | 2019-07-26 | Won |
984 | 1152 | 28% | 2019-07-13 | Won |
1113 | 1171 | 42% | 2019-07-13 | Won |
1157 | 1037 | 67% | 2018-11-12 | Lost |
970 | 1198 | 21% | 2018-09-30 | Lost |
948 | 961 | 48% | 2018-09-24 | Lost |
933 | 1158 | 21% | 2018-06-01 | Lost |
1088 | 1157 | 40% | 2017-10-21 | Lost |
984 | 1144 | 28% | 2017-08-21 | Won |
1055 | 915 | 69% | 2017-03-11 | Lost |
1157 | 1005 | 71% | 2017-03-02 | Lost |
1225 | 1007 | 78% | 2016-10-14 | Won |
1026 | 993 | 55% | 2016-09-25 | Lost |
1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2015-11-17 | Lost |
1013 | 982 | 54% | 2015-05-15 | Lost |
981 | 1227 | 20% | 2015-03-07 | Lost |
981 | 1227 | 20% | 2015-03-07 | Lost |
999 | 1095 | 37% | 2014-11-13 | Lost |
990 | 1045 | 42% | 2014-10-01 | Lost |
1011 | 1036 | 46% | 2014-08-06 | Won |
847 | 972 | 33% | 2014-06-05 | Lost |
1016 | 947 | 60% | 2013-12-15 | Lost |
1160 | 1026 | 68% | 2013-10-14 | Won |
1109 | 1175 | 41% | 2013-10-12 | Won |
858 | 1109 | 19% | 2013-09-09 | Lost |
1016 | 1058 | 44% | 2013-06-10 | Lost |
1115 | 1105 | 51% | 2013-01-29 | Won |
1099 | 952 | 70% | 2012-11-05 | Won |
989 | 962 | 54% | 2012-10-22 | Won |
911 | 924 | 48% | 2012-05-29 | Won |
1055 | 1040 | 52% | 2012-02-05 | Won |
935 | 869 | 59% | 2011-10-10 | Lost |
970 | 1062 | 37% | 2011-03-11 | Won |
868 | 977 | 35% | 2011-03-11 | Won |
963 | 1012 | 43% | 2009-11-04 | Lost |
933 | 963 | 46% | 2009-10-27 | Lost |
1157 | 1004 | 71% | 2009-10-08 | Lost |
1108 | 911 | 76% | 2009-09-19 | Won |
1047 | 1040 | 51% | 2009-08-05 | Lost |
924 | 984 | 41% | 2008-09-24 | Lost |
919 | 984 | 41% | 2008-08-15 | Lost |
1108 | 988 | 67% | 2007-11-17 | Lost |
1227 | 1131 | 63% | 2007-01-08 | Lost |
1046 | 1060 | 48% | 2006-08-03 | Lost |
991 | 955 | 55% | 2006-06-09 | Lost |
1037 | 1186 | 30% | 2006-05-06 | Lost |
1017 | 1017 | 50% | 2005-01-26 | Lost |
1096 | 1006 | 63% | 2005-01-11 | Lost |
1095 | 1086 | 51% | 2004-08-01 | Lost |
984 | 925 | 58% | 2004-05-16 | Lost |
1019 | 1055 | 45% | 2004-02-24 | Lost |
998 | 987 | 52% | 2003-05-18 | Lost |
1055 | 1013 | 56% | 2000-10-25 | Lost |
1039 | 1055 | 48% | 2000-10-17 | Lost |
1142 | 980 | 72% | 1998-08-10 | Won |
870 | 1063 | 25% | 1998-06-06 | Won |
1056 | 890 | 72% | 1995-11-07 | Won |
1142 | 1175 | 45% | 1995-09-12 | Lost |
Attacking (22 wins) average ELOs: 1022.8 vs 1028.3 has a 49.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).