Revenge at Kastelli
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 94 (15 on the archive and 79 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Greek): 46
Defender wins (German): 48
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
882 | 991 | 35% | 2020-07-18 | Won |
960 | 975 | 48% | 2018-09-09 | Won |
1127 | 1104 | 53% | 2018-02-05 | Won |
1127 | 935 | 75% | 2018-02-05 | Won |
1030 | 988 | 56% | 2017-03-21 | Won |
871 | 1208 | 13% | 2016-12-27 | Won |
1188 | 1055 | 68% | 2014-05-01 | Won |
997 | 1002 | 49% | 2014-02-15 | Won |
986 | 986 | 50% | 2012-05-29 | Lost |
1063 | 1037 | 54% | 2011-07-09 | Lost |
1021 | 999 | 53% | 2011-05-05 | Won |
1011 | 1011 | 50% | 2011-03-08 | Won |
1092 | 952 | 69% | 2008-12-12 | Won |
865 | 1083 | 22% | 1998-05-20 | Won |
991 | 980 | 52% | 1991-02-15 | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1014.1 vs 1020.4 has a 49.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).