A High Price to Pay
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 120 (11 on the archive and 109 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 64
Defender wins (British): 56
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1144 | 1204 | 41% | 2022-03-04 | Lost |
1171 | 1000 | 73% | 2022-03-02 | Won |
993 | 1026 | 45% | 2019-04-20 | Lost |
1204 | 924 | 83% | 2019-03-31 | Won |
1160 | 1010 | 70% | 2015-12-20 | Won |
1030 | 1175 | 30% | 2015-07-28 | Won |
1115 | 976 | 69% | 2014-07-25 | Won |
1055 | 1029 | 54% | 2004-06-19 | Won |
1110 | 831 | 83% | 2002-04-14 | Lost |
1142 | 977 | 72% | 1997-03-26 | Won |
1016 | 1327 | 14% | 1990-05-26 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1103.6 vs 1043.5 has a 58.56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).