Bridge to Nowhere
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 205 (25 on the archive and 180 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 117
Defender wins (Russian): 88
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1117 | 994 | 67% | 2022-03-04 | Won |
1088 | 1049 | 56% | 2022-03-04 | Won |
993 | 1026 | 45% | 2019-05-14 | Won |
1057 | 1013 | 56% | 2018-03-17 | Won |
1109 | 1090 | 53% | 2017-10-22 | Won |
1153 | 1026 | 68% | 2016-01-18 | Won |
1006 | 1153 | 30% | 2015-11-16 | Lost |
1175 | 1030 | 70% | 2015-08-10 | Won |
1006 | 1013 | 49% | 2014-10-12 | Won |
989 | 1145 | 29% | 2014-03-30 | Lost |
1171 | 1225 | 42% | 2013-02-20 | Lost |
924 | 1006 | 38% | 2012-08-16 | Lost |
1055 | 1122 | 40% | 2011-11-19 | Won |
1125 | 1029 | 63% | 2010-11-15 | Lost |
1006 | 1013 | 49% | 2010-04-28 | Lost |
1127 | 1062 | 59% | 2008-11-06 | Lost |
1000 | 1006 | 49% | 2007-12-29 | Won |
961 | 1006 | 44% | 2007-07-02 | Won |
1097 | 988 | 65% | 2006-03-31 | Won |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2006-02-14 | Won |
1097 | 614 | 94% | 2003-12-13 | Lost |
992 | 935 | 58% | 2002-01-12 | Lost |
1083 | 870 | 77% | 1997-08-12 | Lost |
1049 | 990 | 58% | 1994-02-02 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1061.5 vs 1020.9 has a 55.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).