Strangers in a Strange Land
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 304 (47 on the archive and 257 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 162
Defender wins (German): 141
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
858 | 858 | 50% | 2024-04-21 | Lost |
961 | 986 | 46% | 2022-08-31 | Won |
983 | 925 | 58% | 2021-06-16 | Lost |
795 | 780 | 52% | 2020-10-05 | Won |
1032 | 1175 | 31% | 2020-08-12 | Won |
920 | 892 | 54% | 2020-08-03 | Tied |
1031 | 1009 | 53% | 2020-05-09 | Lost |
1026 | 983 | 56% | 2020-03-15 | Lost |
1144 | 1049 | 63% | 2020-03-07 | Won |
1117 | 1062 | 58% | 2020-03-07 | Won |
1144 | 983 | 72% | 2020-03-05 | Won |
1026 | 993 | 55% | 2020-02-28 | Won |
1086 | 1307 | 22% | 2018-09-05 | Lost |
1020 | 1020 | 50% | 2017-11-23 | Won |
895 | 915 | 47% | 2017-08-08 | Won |
992 | 988 | 51% | 2017-05-13 | Won |
955 | 1013 | 42% | 2017-03-21 | Won |
1013 | 955 | 58% | 2017-03-04 | Lost |
1097 | 1284 | 25% | 2016-12-07 | Lost |
987 | 1175 | 25% | 2015-11-16 | Won |
1008 | 977 | 54% | 2015-06-14 | Won |
994 | 1266 | 17% | 2015-03-07 | Lost |
1037 | 998 | 56% | 2014-08-02 | Won |
1057 | 1158 | 36% | 2014-06-01 | Lost |
1001 | 1026 | 46% | 2014-03-04 | Won |
1001 | 1026 | 46% | 2014-03-04 | Won |
987 | 1197 | 23% | 2012-10-07 | Won |
980 | 996 | 48% | 2012-09-23 | Lost |
1091 | 984 | 65% | 2012-08-10 | Lost |
1207 | 976 | 79% | 2012-08-04 | Won |
1115 | 1094 | 53% | 2011-10-09 | Won |
949 | 1001 | 43% | 2010-01-21 | Lost |
1008 | 983 | 54% | 2009-11-27 | Won |
984 | 1008 | 47% | 2009-09-29 | Won |
992 | 983 | 51% | 2009-02-26 | Lost |
998 | 1227 | 21% | 2008-11-01 | Won |
1062 | 1127 | 41% | 2008-01-21 | Won |
1046 | 1060 | 48% | 2006-02-10 | Lost |
1034 | 1087 | 42% | 2004-09-19 | Lost |
987 | 994 | 49% | 2004-09-19 | Won |
1029 | 1055 | 46% | 2004-07-25 | Won |
983 | 831 | 71% | 2002-06-01 | Lost |
880 | 1083 | 24% | 2001-05-06 | Lost |
1207 | 1142 | 59% | 2001-01-26 | Lost |
967 | 949 | 53% | 1999-12-27 | Lost |
850 | 992 | 31% | 1999-01-23 | Lost |
1142 | 856 | 84% | 1995-11-08 | Won |
Attacking (26 wins) average ELOs: 1014.4 vs 1030.4 has a 47.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).