A Desperate Affair
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (15 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 17
Defender wins (British): 19
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1164 | 917 | 81% | 2024-02-10 | Won |
1152 | 1118 | 55% | 2022-03-31 | Lost |
1152 | 1019 | 68% | 2022-03-30 | Lost |
1010 | 1027 | 48% | 2020-10-24 | Lost |
1204 | 924 | 83% | 2020-07-30 | Lost |
993 | 1026 | 45% | 2020-06-02 | Won |
1204 | 973 | 79% | 2018-02-17 | Lost |
1204 | 856 | 88% | 2016-12-30 | Lost |
1204 | 1092 | 66% | 2016-12-27 | Won |
1028 | 1055 | 46% | 2016-11-12 | Lost |
1020 | 1176 | 29% | 2014-09-28 | Lost |
1115 | 989 | 67% | 2013-04-07 | Lost |
1039 | 1062 | 47% | 2012-08-26 | Lost |
925 | 1204 | 17% | 2009-08-24 | Lost |
1142 | 1172 | 46% | 2007-12-14 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1103.7 vs 1040.7 has a 58.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).