Liberating Bessarabia
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 168 (32 on the archive and 136 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Romanian): 89
Defender wins (Russian): 79
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1005 | 941 | 59% | 2024-01-13 | Won |
1164 | 953 | 77% | 2023-11-04 | Won |
1083 | 1026 | 58% | 2022-04-09 | Won |
993 | 1026 | 45% | 2021-06-10 | Lost |
1011 | 994 | 52% | 2020-07-06 | Won |
998 | 998 | 50% | 2018-04-24 | Won |
989 | 975 | 52% | 2018-03-10 | Won |
1013 | 996 | 52% | 2018-03-02 | Won |
1095 | 1043 | 57% | 2016-11-03 | Won |
1284 | 889 | 91% | 2016-08-03 | Won |
980 | 840 | 69% | 2015-12-30 | Lost |
1050 | 980 | 60% | 2015-12-28 | Won |
1109 | 934 | 73% | 2015-06-18 | Won |
889 | 887 | 50% | 2014-10-08 | Won |
1109 | 1055 | 58% | 2013-12-05 | Lost |
1036 | 1028 | 51% | 2013-06-16 | Won |
1034 | 989 | 56% | 2011-12-12 | Won |
969 | 1115 | 30% | 2010-10-22 | Won |
919 | 919 | 50% | 2010-04-13 | Lost |
963 | 1029 | 41% | 2010-03-20 | Won |
1093 | 865 | 79% | 2009-03-21 | Won |
1095 | 1095 | 50% | 2006-11-20 | Won |
994 | 1228 | 21% | 2006-10-28 | Won |
1000 | 925 | 61% | 2006-08-30 | Won |
1287 | 1307 | 47% | 2006-06-05 | Won |
1017 | 1017 | 50% | 2006-05-27 | Lost |
1037 | 1212 | 27% | 2006-05-27 | Won |
1096 | 1097 | 50% | 2006-04-01 | Won |
969 | 1327 | 11% | 2006-03-11 | Lost |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2006-03-07 | Won |
890 | 1142 | 19% | 2006-03-04 | Won |
1289 | 1030 | 82% | 2006-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (26 wins) average ELOs: 1048.7 vs 1030 has a 52.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).