The Penetration of Rostov
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (20 on the archive and 25 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 26
Defender wins (Russian): 19
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
960 | 929 | 54% | 2024-03-09 | Won |
924 | 1204 | 17% | 2021-07-21 | Won |
981 | 1038 | 42% | 2021-05-03 | Lost |
1137 | 1133 | 51% | 2020-10-06 | Won |
1017 | 992 | 54% | 2020-09-12 | Won |
924 | 1159 | 21% | 2020-08-21 | Lost |
1107 | 1159 | 43% | 2020-04-04 | Won |
971 | 1032 | 41% | 2019-02-25 | Lost |
1285 | 1152 | 68% | 2018-09-18 | Won |
942 | 1040 | 36% | 2018-01-21 | Won |
996 | 1058 | 41% | 2017-06-23 | Won |
966 | 1093 | 32% | 2017-06-19 | Lost |
1020 | 996 | 53% | 2017-05-16 | Lost |
1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2014-12-28 | Lost |
1026 | 1166 | 31% | 2014-12-15 | Won |
955 | 1058 | 36% | 2014-11-19 | Won |
1068 | 936 | 68% | 2012-07-16 | Won |
827 | 990 | 28% | 2011-06-04 | Won |
949 | 972 | 47% | 2011-02-11 | Lost |
1063 | 930 | 68% | 1998-10-01 | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1009.2 vs 1055.2 has a 43.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).