Bailey's Demise
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (7 on the archive and 41 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 29
Defender wins (Japanese): 19
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1175 | 1096 | 61% | 2024-01-29 | Lost |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-09-19 | Won |
1113 | 1127 | 48% | 2018-11-27 | Lost |
972 | 972 | 50% | 2009-07-06 | Lost |
1021 | 1227 | 23% | 2007-05-19 | Won |
972 | 1063 | 37% | 2002-04-27 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1042.2 vs 1080.8 has a 44.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).