The Good Shepherd
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 81 (12 on the archive and 69 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 36
Defender wins (German): 44
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Canadian): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1052 | 952 | 64% | 2023-04-09 | Won |
1189 | 1062 | 68% | 2023-04-06 | Lost |
1144 | 994 | 70% | 2023-04-03 | Won |
1156 | 941 | 78% | 2023-03-11 | Lost |
1019 | 1167 | 30% | 2023-03-10 | Lost |
1175 | 1076 | 64% | 2023-03-05 | Won |
973 | 983 | 49% | 2020-02-07 | Lost |
1087 | 1015 | 60% | 2019-12-07 | Lost |
1040 | 959 | 61% | 2017-03-27 | Won |
1307 | 1213 | 63% | 2011-06-07 | Won |
983 | 1008 | 46% | 2010-12-04 | Lost |
1083 | 1077 | 51% | 2003-10-01 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1100.7 vs 1037.3 has a 59.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).