Barkmann's Corner
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 57 (10 on the archive and 47 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 28
Defender wins (German (SS)): 29
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
886 | 980 | 37% | 2022-12-27 | Lost |
849 | 881 | 45% | 2019-07-09 | Lost |
985 | 1204 | 22% | 2019-05-24 | Lost |
1204 | 856 | 88% | 2019-05-04 | Won |
1037 | 1131 | 37% | 2014-12-18 | Lost |
1036 | 1019 | 52% | 2013-08-01 | Lost |
1138 | 1125 | 52% | 2012-01-01 | Lost |
1040 | 1022 | 53% | 2010-03-13 | Won |
1127 | 1062 | 59% | 2009-10-08 | Lost |
990 | 1027 | 45% | 1995-04-08 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1029.2 vs 1030.7 has a 49.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).