L'Abbaye Blanche
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 184 (40 on the archive and 144 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 89
Defender wins (American): 95
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
944 | 1167 | 22% | 2023-07-09 | Lost |
1167 | 944 | 78% | 2023-07-02 | Won |
1144 | 1006 | 69% | 2022-01-20 | Won |
941 | 1001 | 41% | 2021-09-22 | Lost |
941 | 1001 | 41% | 2021-09-21 | Lost |
1012 | 1095 | 38% | 2021-03-12 | Won |
1017 | 1017 | 50% | 2020-12-20 | Lost |
1027 | 1056 | 46% | 2020-05-13 | Lost |
959 | 1284 | 13% | 2020-03-23 | Lost |
1198 | 856 | 88% | 2019-05-02 | Won |
1307 | 1086 | 78% | 2017-10-31 | Lost |
1006 | 1144 | 31% | 2017-10-10 | Lost |
1017 | 1017 | 50% | 2017-01-10 | Won |
1327 | 967 | 89% | 2016-06-25 | Won |
890 | 1109 | 22% | 2016-05-30 | Won |
993 | 1026 | 45% | 2016-02-22 | Won |
989 | 1051 | 41% | 2016-02-10 | Won |
989 | 967 | 53% | 2014-10-03 | Won |
1062 | 1225 | 28% | 2013-06-27 | Won |
1006 | 1144 | 31% | 2013-06-21 | Won |
952 | 1099 | 30% | 2012-11-21 | Lost |
887 | 977 | 37% | 2012-10-01 | Won |
963 | 933 | 54% | 2012-01-20 | Lost |
994 | 1047 | 42% | 2011-06-24 | Lost |
1034 | 1062 | 46% | 2011-06-24 | Lost |
998 | 1227 | 21% | 2011-06-24 | Won |
1143 | 1227 | 38% | 2011-05-27 | Lost |
1227 | 1093 | 68% | 2009-03-01 | Won |
1055 | 1029 | 54% | 2008-05-01 | Lost |
945 | 1095 | 30% | 2005-12-11 | Lost |
1083 | 1064 | 53% | 2004-10-01 | Won |
947 | 987 | 44% | 2004-08-28 | Lost |
925 | 993 | 40% | 2004-05-07 | Won |
1017 | 1017 | 50% | 2003-08-31 | Lost |
854 | 992 | 31% | 2000-12-28 | Lost |
1142 | 980 | 72% | 1998-12-20 | Lost |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 1998-04-01 | Won |
1097 | 890 | 77% | 1998-01-21 | Won |
1164 | 1087 | 61% | 1997-03-08 | Lost |
Attacking (19 wins) average ELOs: 1037.4 vs 1052.8 has a 47.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).