Shielding Moscow
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 119 (16 on the archive and 103 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 35
Defender wins (Russian): 84
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
967 | 1013 | 43% | 2023-04-03 | Lost |
924 | 1006 | 38% | 2021-03-04 | Won |
1045 | 1131 | 38% | 2020-04-22 | Lost |
983 | 1131 | 30% | 2020-04-22 | Lost |
1006 | 1068 | 41% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
1203 | 1207 | 49% | 2015-01-17 | Lost |
1144 | 1006 | 69% | 2014-06-03 | Lost |
985 | 1115 | 32% | 2011-09-16 | Lost |
1019 | 1084 | 41% | 2011-02-24 | Won |
989 | 1006 | 48% | 2010-09-10 | Lost |
1227 | 1047 | 74% | 2009-01-11 | Lost |
1108 | 943 | 72% | 2008-10-10 | Won |
1105 | 1226 | 33% | 2006-07-15 | Lost |
1027 | 1037 | 49% | 2006-01-28 | Won |
1030 | 1175 | 30% | 2006-01-01 | Won |
1083 | 901 | 74% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1052.8 vs 1068.5 has a 47.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).