Fire on the Volga
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (5 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (Russian): 16
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
980 | 886 | 63% | 2022-11-04 | Won |
780 | 1093 | 14% | 2020-09-28 | Lost |
993 | 1026 | 45% | 2019-10-22 | Won |
967 | 967 | 50% | 2006-08-19 | Won |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2003-08-15 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 944 vs 994.4 has a 42.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).