Acts of Defiance
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 345 (13 on the archive and 332 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 141
Defender wins (Russian): 204
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1060 | 984 | 61% | 2013-06-15 | Lost |
961 | 1006 | 44% | 2009-08-09 | Lost |
879 | 891 | 48% | 2009-05-24 | Won |
1016 | 1015 | 50% | 2007-01-08 | Lost |
1095 | 998 | 64% | 2005-12-27 | Lost |
1050 | 1097 | 43% | 2005-09-17 | Lost |
1097 | 1091 | 51% | 2005-04-30 | Lost |
1035 | 925 | 65% | 2005-02-14 | Lost |
1097 | 614 | 94% | 2001-08-25 | Won |
850 | 992 | 31% | 1998-09-05 | Lost |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 1997-10-23 | Won |
1142 | 1092 | 57% | 1996-01-26 | Lost |
1142 | 1175 | 45% | 1995-07-09 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1040.1 vs 998.2 has a 55.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).