A Surprise Encounter
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 126 (13 on the archive and 113 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 56
Defender wins (Russian): 69
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Finnish): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
993 | 1026 | 45% | 2023-09-29 | Lost |
1095 | 924 | 73% | 2023-04-15 | Lost |
879 | 1005 | 33% | 2023-02-28 | Lost |
989 | 1028 | 44% | 2020-06-29 | Won |
1013 | 991 | 53% | 2019-07-05 | Won |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2016-03-22 | Lost |
972 | 1095 | 33% | 2011-04-10 | Lost |
1093 | 1030 | 59% | 2007-05-28 | Lost |
954 | 1055 | 36% | 2003-08-16 | Won |
1142 | 1273 | 32% | 2003-01-09 | Lost |
1030 | 958 | 60% | 2003-01-06 | Lost |
1142 | 1172 | 46% | 1997-01-22 | Lost |
1053 | 1063 | 49% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1037.4 vs 1057.8 has a 47.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).