Mayhem in Manila
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 202 (13 on the archive and 189 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 95
Defender wins (Japanese): 107
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1058 | 1038 | 53% | 2020-04-14 | Won |
1038 | 1058 | 47% | 2020-03-21 | Won |
1106 | 1079 | 54% | 2019-04-13 | Won |
868 | 1221 | 12% | 2016-05-23 | Won |
886 | 905 | 47% | 2016-02-13 | Lost |
1138 | 1125 | 52% | 2011-12-05 | Lost |
1043 | 987 | 58% | 2011-10-06 | Won |
1033 | 1309 | 17% | 2011-06-06 | Won |
919 | 1056 | 31% | 2003-07-30 | Lost |
1076 | 998 | 61% | 2002-04-28 | Won |
1084 | 1161 | 39% | 2001-10-07 | Lost |
1024 | 949 | 61% | 2000-04-09 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1022.8 vs 1073.8 has a 42.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).