The Weigh In
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (6 on the archive and 41 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 15
Defender wins (Polish): 31
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
994 | 1108 | 34% | 2024-03-09 | Tied |
924 | 1204 | 17% | 2022-12-11 | Lost |
1151 | 954 | 76% | 2016-09-17 | Won |
967 | 1327 | 11% | 2003-04-23 | Lost |
1097 | 890 | 77% | 2000-11-15 | Lost |
992 | 1063 | 40% | 2000-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1020.8 vs 1091 has a 40.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).