Strongpoint 11
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 154 (23 on the archive and 131 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 78
Defender wins (Dutch): 76
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
960 | 890 | 60% | 2024-01-28 | Lost |
1175 | 1210 | 45% | 2023-12-28 | Lost |
924 | 950 | 46% | 2021-05-30 | Lost |
1113 | 950 | 72% | 2020-05-30 | Won |
1032 | 1133 | 36% | 2020-01-04 | Won |
1284 | 950 | 87% | 2017-12-19 | Won |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2017-07-16 | Lost |
986 | 851 | 69% | 2017-04-01 | Won |
986 | 851 | 69% | 2017-04-01 | Won |
954 | 1151 | 24% | 2017-01-30 | Won |
1109 | 1083 | 54% | 2016-06-18 | Won |
1087 | 967 | 67% | 2015-10-11 | Lost |
1085 | 992 | 63% | 2015-04-26 | Won |
1207 | 1039 | 72% | 2015-01-16 | Won |
989 | 975 | 52% | 2013-10-20 | Won |
1083 | 1089 | 49% | 2012-05-26 | Lost |
1090 | 1054 | 55% | 2009-08-09 | Won |
925 | 1047 | 33% | 2008-09-22 | Won |
1197 | 957 | 80% | 2008-03-16 | Won |
1091 | 1037 | 58% | 2007-06-02 | Lost |
1285 | 1030 | 81% | 2006-01-01 | Won |
987 | 992 | 49% | 2004-05-15 | Lost |
994 | 992 | 50% | 2002-12-01 | Won |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1072.8 vs 1014 has a 58.39% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).