Canicatti
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 130 (27 on the archive and 103 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 60
Defender wins (German): 70
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
996 | 1012 | 48% | 2024-04-05 | Lost |
955 | 1127 | 27% | 2022-04-21 | Won |
1026 | 902 | 67% | 2022-01-16 | Lost |
1181 | 1041 | 69% | 2021-10-11 | Won |
1087 | 1133 | 43% | 2021-05-22 | Lost |
1210 | 1008 | 76% | 2021-05-22 | Lost |
992 | 1351 | 11% | 2021-03-25 | Lost |
1093 | 780 | 86% | 2020-08-11 | Won |
1137 | 1113 | 53% | 2020-08-08 | Lost |
1008 | 984 | 53% | 2020-05-16 | Lost |
1013 | 1013 | 50% | 2020-03-17 | Lost |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2019-02-24 | Lost |
954 | 1151 | 24% | 2017-07-14 | Won |
1087 | 971 | 66% | 2017-05-08 | Won |
1083 | 1024 | 58% | 2015-06-19 | Won |
1076 | 1083 | 49% | 2013-11-09 | Lost |
1008 | 1084 | 39% | 2012-10-05 | Lost |
1043 | 868 | 73% | 2012-04-14 | Won |
962 | 1108 | 30% | 2012-04-13 | Won |
1095 | 838 | 81% | 2010-08-01 | Won |
979 | 1097 | 34% | 2007-03-17 | Lost |
905 | 1013 | 35% | 2006-10-18 | Lost |
832 | 832 | 50% | 2006-09-10 | Lost |
925 | 904 | 53% | 2004-03-22 | Lost |
1142 | 1148 | 49% | 2002-09-24 | Lost |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2001-09-05 | Won |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2001-08-21 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1041.3 vs 1033.7 has a 51.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).