The Army at the Edge of the World
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 80 (9 on the archive and 71 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 41
Defender wins (French): 39
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
924 | 1006 | 38% | 2020-04-23 | Lost |
1050 | 1083 | 45% | 2016-10-07 | Won |
945 | 1087 | 31% | 2014-11-10 | Won |
887 | 1002 | 34% | 2014-01-31 | Lost |
1093 | 1058 | 55% | 2009-09-29 | Won |
1227 | 1142 | 62% | 2004-05-01 | Lost |
1183 | 1327 | 30% | 2003-07-26 | Lost |
1142 | 1172 | 46% | 2002-12-29 | Lost |
901 | 1083 | 26% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1039.1 vs 1106.7 has a 40.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).