Just an Illusion
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (7 on the archive and 40 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Thai (Chinese)): 21
Defender wins (French): 26
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
968 | 954 | 52% | 2023-01-08 | Lost |
997 | 997 | 50% | 2021-12-05 | Won |
1204 | 924 | 83% | 2020-05-23 | Lost |
889 | 1068 | 26% | 2013-02-26 | Won |
869 | 1167 | 15% | 2012-09-17 | Lost |
1148 | 1133 | 52% | 2007-05-05 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1012.5 vs 1040.5 has a 45.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).