Escape from Velikiye Luki
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 82 (25 on the archive and 57 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 41
Defender wins (Russian): 41
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1112 | 1142 | 46% | 2023-03-06 | Lost |
949 | 949 | 50% | 2021-01-02 | Lost |
1024 | 1204 | 26% | 2020-12-31 | Won |
1009 | 1109 | 36% | 2019-06-10 | Won |
1055 | 1100 | 44% | 2019-01-18 | Lost |
1100 | 1055 | 56% | 2019-01-11 | Won |
924 | 1204 | 17% | 2018-07-28 | Won |
979 | 963 | 52% | 2017-10-21 | Won |
890 | 1109 | 22% | 2016-10-12 | Won |
986 | 851 | 69% | 2015-12-20 | Won |
986 | 851 | 69% | 2015-12-20 | Won |
993 | 1026 | 45% | 2015-05-09 | Won |
1327 | 1010 | 86% | 2015-04-12 | Won |
1051 | 1087 | 45% | 2014-08-25 | Won |
886 | 977 | 37% | 2014-03-30 | Won |
1027 | 1067 | 44% | 2014-02-07 | Lost |
1032 | 1051 | 47% | 2013-09-17 | Lost |
887 | 952 | 41% | 2013-09-09 | Won |
887 | 968 | 39% | 2013-09-02 | Won |
994 | 1068 | 40% | 2012-10-06 | Won |
963 | 1029 | 41% | 2012-05-11 | Won |
1095 | 1116 | 47% | 2011-12-22 | Won |
946 | 1115 | 27% | 2011-04-19 | Lost |
1003 | 871 | 68% | 2009-04-30 | Lost |
1013 | 991 | 53% | 2006-11-01 | Won |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1004.7 vs 1034.6 has a 45.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).