A Belated Christmas
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23 (5 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 15
Defender wins (American): 8
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1108 | 917 | 75% | 2021-03-06 | Won |
1013 | 1013 | 50% | 2020-04-14 | Won |
1242 | 1141 | 64% | 2018-01-07 | Won |
977 | 896 | 61% | 2017-01-04 | Lost |
1115 | 989 | 67% | 2013-03-07 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1091 vs 991.2 has a 63.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).