Alligator Creek
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (4 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 20
Defender wins (American (USMC)): 10
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1000 | 1077 | 39% | 2020-10-01 | Won |
1037 | 992 | 56% | 2017-08-20 | Won |
1096 | 1096 | 50% | 2012-11-18 | Won |
1042 | 1035 | 51% | 2004-02-14 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1043.8 vs 1050 has a 49.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).