Morgan's Stand
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 66 (21 on the archive and 45 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 30
Defender wins (American): 36
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
954 | 981 | 46% | 2023-10-01 | Lost |
1128 | 1062 | 59% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
1307 | 1086 | 78% | 2018-11-28 | Lost |
1012 | 1055 | 44% | 2018-06-17 | Lost |
1158 | 933 | 79% | 2017-04-16 | Won |
993 | 1026 | 45% | 2016-06-01 | Won |
1144 | 1204 | 41% | 2016-03-15 | Won |
1037 | 994 | 56% | 2016-03-12 | Won |
1037 | 994 | 56% | 2016-03-12 | Won |
847 | 825 | 53% | 2015-08-17 | Lost |
1171 | 1225 | 42% | 2015-06-06 | Lost |
1225 | 1080 | 70% | 2015-02-05 | Won |
1095 | 1100 | 49% | 2014-12-16 | Lost |
1068 | 1225 | 29% | 2014-10-08 | Won |
1091 | 984 | 65% | 2012-08-11 | Lost |
869 | 1097 | 21% | 2010-11-11 | Lost |
1001 | 1033 | 45% | 2009-08-21 | Lost |
1062 | 1127 | 41% | 2009-05-24 | Lost |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2008-03-05 | Lost |
1097 | 1098 | 50% | 1995-10-15 | Lost |
870 | 1063 | 25% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1060.1 vs 1061.4 has a 49.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).