Devil's Hill
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 169 (14 on the archive and 155 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 73
Defender wins (German): 96
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2022-11-07 | Lost |
1012 | 936 | 61% | 2019-08-23 | Lost |
1058 | 1049 | 51% | 2019-02-01 | Won |
926 | 989 | 41% | 2018-03-30 | Won |
1089 | 1055 | 55% | 2017-11-26 | Lost |
1026 | 993 | 55% | 2016-06-13 | Lost |
847 | 868 | 47% | 2015-05-01 | Lost |
847 | 868 | 47% | 2015-04-14 | Lost |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2013-03-24 | Lost |
922 | 922 | 50% | 2012-02-21 | Won |
965 | 1030 | 41% | 2006-01-01 | Lost |
959 | 1063 | 35% | 2001-10-01 | Lost |
962 | 1142 | 26% | 2001-01-26 | Won |
980 | 1142 | 28% | 2000-12-28 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 989.6 vs 1022.8 has a 45.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).