Strayer's Strays
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 229 (35 on the archive and 194 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 91
Defender wins (German): 138
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2023-06-17 | Lost |
930 | 1055 | 33% | 2022-12-30 | Lost |
1006 | 1012 | 49% | 2022-01-10 | Lost |
1007 | 1087 | 39% | 2021-09-26 | Lost |
1087 | 1007 | 61% | 2021-09-26 | Won |
1017 | 1017 | 50% | 2021-06-20 | Won |
1100 | 1032 | 60% | 2020-09-04 | Lost |
1153 | 1062 | 63% | 2020-09-02 | Won |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2020-06-28 | Won |
1126 | 1197 | 40% | 2018-11-09 | Lost |
908 | 998 | 37% | 2018-05-01 | Won |
933 | 1158 | 21% | 2018-01-01 | Won |
1109 | 941 | 72% | 2017-10-02 | Won |
1013 | 994 | 53% | 2017-06-02 | Won |
933 | 1158 | 21% | 2017-04-04 | Lost |
1110 | 972 | 69% | 2017-03-10 | Lost |
1307 | 1131 | 73% | 2017-03-06 | Won |
1026 | 993 | 55% | 2017-01-15 | Lost |
1012 | 1026 | 48% | 2017-01-12 | Lost |
933 | 1158 | 21% | 2017-01-01 | Won |
1026 | 1012 | 52% | 2016-11-24 | Lost |
1055 | 1046 | 51% | 2016-09-28 | Won |
1041 | 1115 | 40% | 2016-06-16 | Lost |
986 | 851 | 69% | 2015-12-08 | Lost |
986 | 851 | 69% | 2015-12-08 | Lost |
1171 | 1225 | 42% | 2015-07-25 | Lost |
1023 | 1022 | 50% | 2015-07-22 | Won |
1137 | 984 | 71% | 2014-02-08 | Won |
1015 | 999 | 52% | 2011-12-01 | Lost |
1105 | 988 | 66% | 2011-01-14 | Won |
990 | 1049 | 42% | 2010-03-31 | Lost |
1096 | 1087 | 51% | 2010-02-19 | Lost |
1055 | 1019 | 55% | 2004-01-20 | Lost |
980 | 1142 | 28% | 1998-08-23 | Lost |
1083 | 1273 | 25% | 1996-09-01 | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1048.7 vs 1054.4 has a 49.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).