Raiders of the Chaco
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (6 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Bolivian): 12
Defender wins (Paraguayan): 15
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1033 | 1173 | 31% | 2022-02-19 | Won |
780 | 1031 | 19% | 2020-11-14 | Lost |
1052 | 989 | 59% | 2011-09-11 | Won |
890 | 987 | 36% | 2005-04-16 | Won |
880 | 1063 | 26% | 2003-10-06 | Lost |
1285 | 1142 | 69% | 1998-06-07 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 986.7 vs 1064.2 has a 39.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).