Morire in Belleza
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 157 (32 on the archive and 125 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 75
Defender wins (Yugoslavian): 82
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1085 | 1105 | 47% | 2023-07-28 | Lost |
918 | 1082 | 28% | 2023-06-24 | Won |
1000 | 1016 | 48% | 2023-05-25 | Lost |
904 | 1000 | 37% | 2022-11-06 | Won |
1000 | 1290 | 16% | 2021-02-19 | Lost |
1000 | 1262 | 18% | 2021-02-19 | Lost |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-03-23 | Lost |
1291 | 1202 | 63% | 2016-11-19 | Won |
931 | 1244 | 14% | 2016-08-27 | Won |
922 | 931 | 49% | 2015-12-08 | Won |
944 | 1050 | 35% | 2015-11-18 | Lost |
1262 | 979 | 84% | 2015-05-09 | Won |
1046 | 992 | 58% | 2015-03-05 | Won |
986 | 1130 | 30% | 2014-12-06 | Lost |
1130 | 1061 | 60% | 2014-11-15 | Won |
1103 | 1052 | 57% | 2014-04-10 | Lost |
988 | 1080 | 37% | 2014-02-15 | Lost |
1041 | 919 | 67% | 2009-12-21 | Lost |
1108 | 1041 | 60% | 2008-03-07 | Won |
910 | 943 | 45% | 2008-02-09 | Won |
1015 | 1069 | 42% | 2007-05-22 | Won |
1005 | 1030 | 46% | 2006-11-07 | Won |
1295 | 1095 | 76% | 2006-09-10 | Lost |
1262 | 917 | 88% | 2006-09-10 | Won |
1295 | 1262 | 55% | 2006-04-01 | Lost |
1262 | 1226 | 55% | 2006-04-01 | Lost |
1226 | 1262 | 45% | 2006-04-01 | Lost |
1239 | 1295 | 42% | 2006-04-01 | Lost |
1239 | 901 | 87% | 2006-02-07 | Won |
1013 | 995 | 53% | 2005-09-17 | Won |
935 | 862 | 60% | 2005-04-24 | Won |
1012 | 1123 | 35% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1074 vs 1075.5 has a 49.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).