Maczek Fire Brigade
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 120 (20 on the archive and 100 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 58
Defender wins (Polish): 61
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
998 | 998 | 50% | 2023-09-26 | Won |
944 | 1167 | 22% | 2023-06-25 | Lost |
914 | 1144 | 21% | 2023-02-15 | Lost |
914 | 1144 | 21% | 2022-12-13 | Lost |
1039 | 802 | 80% | 2021-01-20 | Won |
1040 | 992 | 57% | 2019-08-30 | Lost |
1078 | 887 | 75% | 2017-04-18 | Won |
1068 | 917 | 70% | 2013-02-27 | Won |
1014 | 1068 | 42% | 2012-05-26 | Lost |
1083 | 1089 | 49% | 2012-05-17 | Won |
1105 | 1084 | 53% | 2012-02-26 | Lost |
1095 | 1128 | 45% | 2012-01-03 | Won |
1307 | 1178 | 68% | 2010-08-07 | Tied |
856 | 1142 | 16% | 2010-01-24 | Lost |
1000 | 1083 | 38% | 2009-01-01 | Lost |
1062 | 1135 | 40% | 2007-12-01 | Lost |
1095 | 1095 | 50% | 2007-11-01 | Lost |
992 | 972 | 53% | 2005-12-03 | Lost |
1172 | 1142 | 54% | 2005-11-05 | Lost |
925 | 1061 | 31% | 2005-10-20 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1035.1 vs 1061.4 has a 46.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).