The Yelnya Bridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 54 (10 on the archive and 44 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 30
Defender wins (Russian): 24
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
929 | 960 | 46% | 2024-01-04 | Lost |
953 | 1000 | 43% | 2023-08-04 | Won |
1063 | 993 | 60% | 2015-06-19 | Won |
977 | 896 | 61% | 2012-02-02 | Won |
1030 | 1120 | 37% | 2007-01-26 | Lost |
1045 | 1133 | 38% | 2007-01-26 | Lost |
1050 | 1360 | 14% | 2006-10-04 | Won |
927 | 1046 | 34% | 2005-11-11 | Lost |
959 | 925 | 55% | 2005-10-09 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 992.6 vs 1048.1 has a 42.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).