Opening Fire
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 55 (14 on the archive and 41 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 30
Defender wins (Polish): 24
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1184 | 1165 | 53% | 2024-02-17 | Lost |
1117 | 1056 | 59% | 2021-12-12 | Lost |
856 | 1204 | 12% | 2021-06-15 | Lost |
1175 | 1032 | 69% | 2021-02-15 | Won |
917 | 994 | 39% | 2018-06-23 | Lost |
971 | 1093 | 33% | 2018-05-29 | Won |
1033 | 996 | 55% | 2017-10-09 | Won |
1087 | 1000 | 62% | 2017-03-01 | Won |
1287 | 1314 | 46% | 2016-07-21 | Tied |
1115 | 1076 | 56% | 2012-11-10 | Won |
1108 | 701 | 91% | 2011-11-26 | Won |
1135 | 1063 | 60% | 2009-03-11 | Lost |
938 | 1105 | 28% | 2006-10-06 | Lost |
944 | 1204 | 18% | 2005-01-06 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1061.9 vs 1071.6 has a 48.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).