Bydgoszcz Coup
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10 (5 on the archive and 5 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Polish): 9
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1284 | 978 | 85% | 2020-06-13 | Lost |
1284 | 978 | 85% | 2020-06-13 | Lost |
1127 | 1062 | 59% | 2008-07-24 | Lost |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2006-01-17 | Lost |
901 | 1063 | 28% | 2005-02-03 | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 1138.6 vs 1035.6 has a 64.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).