Holding the Hotton Bridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 155 (23 on the archive and 132 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 80
Defender wins (American): 75
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
994 | 1058 | 41% | 2022-04-08 | Won |
1041 | 1084 | 44% | 2022-04-08 | Won |
1010 | 1160 | 30% | 2022-03-12 | Lost |
1108 | 842 | 82% | 2020-06-14 | Won |
1204 | 985 | 78% | 2019-06-18 | Won |
1008 | 992 | 52% | 2017-11-05 | Lost |
1108 | 917 | 75% | 2015-03-29 | Lost |
1029 | 988 | 56% | 2015-01-31 | Won |
1000 | 1087 | 38% | 2014-12-07 | Lost |
1284 | 980 | 85% | 2013-05-13 | Lost |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2010-11-30 | Won |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2010-10-09 | Won |
1043 | 1043 | 50% | 2010-08-28 | Lost |
1029 | 1093 | 41% | 2009-11-19 | Won |
1127 | 1062 | 59% | 2008-12-26 | Lost |
1093 | 1062 | 54% | 2008-12-08 | Lost |
1131 | 1227 | 37% | 2008-08-15 | Lost |
925 | 974 | 43% | 2006-10-24 | Lost |
1097 | 1050 | 57% | 2006-05-07 | Lost |
1033 | 1095 | 41% | 2005-02-10 | Won |
925 | 1127 | 24% | 2004-11-24 | Won |
904 | 925 | 47% | 2004-02-24 | Won |
890 | 1097 | 23% | 1998-09-12 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1051.2 vs 1045.3 has a 50.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).