The Five Pound Prize
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 214 (25 on the archive and 189 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 92
Defender wins (British): 122
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1030 | 1023 | 51% | 2022-08-05 | Lost |
1327 | 1147 | 74% | 2022-06-18 | Lost |
1279 | 1153 | 67% | 2021-02-01 | Lost |
1045 | 1153 | 35% | 2021-02-01 | Lost |
1307 | 1086 | 78% | 2018-08-17 | Won |
916 | 1109 | 25% | 2018-01-20 | Lost |
1087 | 1063 | 53% | 2017-10-06 | Lost |
1012 | 1158 | 30% | 2016-01-15 | Won |
999 | 1017 | 47% | 2014-12-10 | Lost |
1059 | 1225 | 28% | 2014-10-11 | Won |
816 | 1095 | 17% | 2014-07-01 | Won |
1001 | 1105 | 35% | 2014-03-21 | Won |
944 | 1087 | 31% | 2013-12-08 | Lost |
1143 | 1068 | 61% | 2013-10-19 | Lost |
952 | 967 | 48% | 2013-04-06 | Lost |
1091 | 902 | 75% | 2010-03-17 | Won |
1108 | 938 | 73% | 2009-08-01 | Won |
1232 | 1360 | 32% | 2008-05-18 | Lost |
1135 | 1062 | 60% | 2008-03-08 | Lost |
1016 | 1021 | 49% | 2007-05-12 | Lost |
1016 | 1021 | 49% | 2007-05-12 | Lost |
1307 | 1110 | 76% | 2006-09-09 | Lost |
983 | 1307 | 13% | 2006-03-24 | Won |
1287 | 1307 | 47% | 2006-01-30 | Lost |
925 | 904 | 53% | 2005-07-27 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1080.7 vs 1095.5 has a 47.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).