First Clash in Tunisia
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (4 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German / Italian): 16
Defender wins (British): 14
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1327 | 1197 | 68% | 2019-12-28 | Lost |
1087 | 917 | 73% | 2019-10-09 | Won |
1083 | 989 | 63% | 2013-10-09 | Won |
977 | 985 | 49% | 2013-10-09 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1118.5 vs 1022 has a 63.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).