42nd Street
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21 (9 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 11
Defender wins (German): 10
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1006 | 1049 | 44% | 2022-08-12 | Lost |
1127 | 1062 | 59% | 2020-04-07 | Won |
987 | 1003 | 48% | 2019-02-23 | Lost |
914 | 1049 | 31% | 2017-05-13 | Lost |
1153 | 1197 | 44% | 2016-02-06 | Lost |
1030 | 1100 | 40% | 2014-12-29 | Won |
925 | 1006 | 39% | 2014-11-26 | Lost |
1003 | 1083 | 39% | 2010-05-19 | Won |
1062 | 1127 | 41% | 2009-05-12 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1023 vs 1075.1 has a 42.56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).