The Yelnya Bridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 141 (31 on the archive and 110 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 68
Defender wins (Russian): 73
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
917 | 964 | 43% | 2023-11-16 | Won |
1133 | 1052 | 61% | 2023-01-27 | Won |
1171 | 964 | 77% | 2022-02-17 | Lost |
1086 | 1307 | 22% | 2021-10-20 | Lost |
953 | 1095 | 31% | 2021-02-09 | Lost |
924 | 1204 | 17% | 2021-01-23 | Lost |
1168 | 1160 | 51% | 2020-12-12 | Lost |
970 | 984 | 48% | 2018-10-14 | Won |
1148 | 1284 | 31% | 2018-03-11 | Won |
1109 | 1013 | 63% | 2018-01-14 | Lost |
989 | 975 | 52% | 2015-04-03 | Lost |
989 | 1032 | 44% | 2014-10-07 | Lost |
1026 | 1327 | 15% | 2014-09-26 | Won |
1060 | 1056 | 51% | 2013-07-15 | Lost |
1080 | 1095 | 48% | 2013-06-18 | Won |
1037 | 1064 | 46% | 2013-03-09 | Won |
1115 | 968 | 70% | 2012-05-22 | Won |
1029 | 1093 | 41% | 2011-02-26 | Won |
989 | 1204 | 22% | 2010-09-03 | Won |
967 | 967 | 50% | 2009-03-02 | Won |
1227 | 1147 | 61% | 2008-10-26 | Lost |
1108 | 1012 | 63% | 2008-10-07 | Lost |
1131 | 1227 | 37% | 2008-09-11 | Lost |
1010 | 1021 | 48% | 2007-11-11 | Lost |
1062 | 1127 | 41% | 2007-07-16 | Won |
981 | 1097 | 34% | 2007-01-20 | Lost |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2006-10-19 | Won |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2006-10-19 | Won |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2006-10-12 | Won |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2006-10-03 | Won |
965 | 1030 | 41% | 2006-09-19 | Won |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1055.9 vs 1092.2 has a 44.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).