The Prelude to Spring
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 83 (9 on the archive and 74 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 35
Defender wins (German): 47
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
997 | 997 | 50% | 2024-01-17 | Won |
1284 | 977 | 85% | 2019-03-10 | Lost |
1093 | 1070 | 53% | 2012-05-28 | Won |
967 | 1105 | 31% | 2012-03-03 | Lost |
1157 | 964 | 75% | 2009-10-18 | Won |
1127 | 1062 | 59% | 2009-02-18 | Lost |
1204 | 919 | 84% | 2009-01-16 | Lost |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2007-02-14 | Won |
1013 | 911 | 64% | 2006-09-06 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1104.3 vs 1011.3 has a 63.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).