The Hardest Day
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (9 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 14
Defender wins (German): 8
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1012 | 976 | 55% | 2024-02-09 | Won |
944 | 1076 | 32% | 2022-03-09 | Lost |
997 | 998 | 50% | 2018-04-06 | Won |
1067 | 1045 | 53% | 2014-12-19 | Won |
1067 | 1045 | 53% | 2014-12-19 | Won |
1087 | 1095 | 49% | 2013-06-12 | Won |
816 | 1095 | 17% | 2013-05-20 | Won |
869 | 1097 | 21% | 2011-10-21 | Lost |
1090 | 905 | 74% | 2009-04-02 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 994.3 vs 1036.9 has a 43.91% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).