Early Battles
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 91 (41 on the archive and 50 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 39
Defender wins (Russian): 49
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
952 | 1204 | 19% | 2023-09-20 | Lost |
1113 | 1204 | 37% | 2023-07-07 | Won |
1070 | 1070 | 50% | 2023-06-07 | Won |
1041 | 1096 | 42% | 2023-02-09 | Won |
1065 | 1131 | 41% | 2023-01-26 | Tied |
804 | 1010 | 23% | 2022-09-03 | Lost |
925 | 1204 | 17% | 2022-05-10 | Lost |
1045 | 1058 | 48% | 2021-12-13 | Won |
1033 | 917 | 66% | 2021-09-22 | Lost |
917 | 986 | 40% | 2021-09-09 | Won |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2021-08-20 | Lost |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2021-08-05 | Lost |
1011 | 985 | 54% | 2021-05-18 | Lost |
1105 | 972 | 68% | 2021-03-24 | Won |
1047 | 993 | 58% | 2021-02-12 | Lost |
917 | 982 | 41% | 2021-01-10 | Won |
1007 | 942 | 59% | 2020-12-02 | Won |
1013 | 1040 | 46% | 2020-11-12 | Lost |
1135 | 858 | 83% | 2020-07-29 | Won |
1178 | 1175 | 50% | 2020-06-11 | Won |
1175 | 1231 | 42% | 2020-03-20 | Won |
1052 | 1049 | 50% | 2020-03-20 | Won |
947 | 858 | 63% | 2020-01-18 | Won |
920 | 892 | 54% | 2020-01-07 | Lost |
1210 | 1159 | 57% | 2019-11-22 | Lost |
1204 | 1152 | 57% | 2019-10-22 | Lost |
1026 | 989 | 55% | 2019-09-22 | Lost |
1056 | 1079 | 47% | 2018-06-11 | Lost |
1029 | 1055 | 46% | 2017-07-07 | Won |
1204 | 1024 | 74% | 2017-01-22 | Lost |
1077 | 1037 | 56% | 2016-10-29 | Lost |
881 | 1204 | 13% | 2016-08-20 | Tied |
1209 | 1216 | 49% | 2015-06-27 | Lost |
868 | 847 | 53% | 2014-08-25 | Won |
1161 | 1216 | 42% | 2014-01-25 | Lost |
990 | 1027 | 45% | 2012-03-23 | Won |
1047 | 1047 | 50% | 2011-12-31 | Won |
1073 | 1073 | 50% | 2009-02-28 | Lost |
1135 | 973 | 72% | 2009-01-15 | Lost |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-06-30 | Lost |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-04-16 | Lost |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1040.9 vs 1048.6 has a 48.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).