The Zebra Mission
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 70 (15 on the archive and 55 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 36
Defender wins (German): 34
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
983 | 983 | 50% | 2023-02-07 | Won |
1327 | 1197 | 68% | 2020-09-06 | Won |
1063 | 1113 | 43% | 2018-04-07 | Won |
1087 | 1098 | 48% | 2017-02-18 | Lost |
1144 | 917 | 79% | 2015-05-08 | Won |
917 | 1144 | 21% | 2015-03-20 | Won |
1049 | 979 | 60% | 2015-03-08 | Won |
1095 | 1012 | 62% | 2014-05-30 | Won |
917 | 1144 | 21% | 2014-03-01 | Lost |
1105 | 991 | 66% | 2013-07-21 | Won |
1228 | 1019 | 77% | 2011-01-20 | Won |
1030 | 1005 | 54% | 2009-03-17 | Won |
1090 | 905 | 74% | 2008-04-10 | Won |
974 | 925 | 57% | 2008-02-27 | Lost |
1026 | 925 | 64% | 2007-10-27 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1069 vs 1023.8 has a 56.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).