Russe! Drown in the Wolga!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 85 (19 on the archive and 66 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 40
Defender wins (Russian (NKVD)/Russian): 43
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian (NKVD)/Russian): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1040 | 1007 | 55% | 2024-02-19 | Won |
1108 | 879 | 79% | 2019-03-10 | Won |
1113 | 1127 | 48% | 2018-05-23 | Won |
1020 | 997 | 53% | 2016-08-01 | Won |
997 | 1020 | 47% | 2016-07-01 | Lost |
1007 | 1007 | 50% | 2016-03-29 | Won |
943 | 1314 | 11% | 2014-11-06 | Tied |
1227 | 980 | 81% | 2014-03-26 | Won |
1009 | 1010 | 50% | 2012-11-23 | Lost |
1068 | 994 | 60% | 2012-11-19 | Won |
990 | 896 | 63% | 2012-07-16 | Lost |
1097 | 869 | 79% | 2011-08-07 | Lost |
944 | 959 | 48% | 2011-04-15 | Won |
989 | 1004 | 48% | 2010-06-19 | Lost |
1095 | 1165 | 40% | 2009-09-05 | Lost |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2008-12-03 | Won |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2008-12-03 | Won |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2008-11-02 | Won |
944 | 904 | 56% | 2008-04-15 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1046.4 vs 1022.3 has a 53.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).