Second Cristot
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 49 (11 on the archive and 38 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 18
Defender wins (German (SS)): 31
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
971 | 994 | 47% | 2019-03-09 | Lost |
1225 | 1183 | 56% | 2019-02-26 | Lost |
917 | 1144 | 21% | 2019-02-11 | Won |
856 | 1198 | 12% | 2017-07-29 | Lost |
1028 | 1058 | 46% | 2017-06-15 | Lost |
989 | 1115 | 33% | 2012-12-16 | Lost |
1016 | 1016 | 50% | 2012-09-29 | Lost |
1093 | 1002 | 63% | 2012-05-26 | Lost |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2009-04-20 | Lost |
1227 | 1047 | 74% | 2009-02-01 | Won |
1112 | 1142 | 46% | 2008-09-06 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1048.3 vs 1090.5 has a 43.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).