The Head of the Mace
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 92 (12 on the archive and 80 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 41
Defender wins (Polish): 51
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
954 | 954 | 50% | 2022-10-16 | Won |
1000 | 1087 | 38% | 2021-07-27 | Lost |
1052 | 1142 | 37% | 2018-10-06 | Lost |
1204 | 1144 | 59% | 2016-11-08 | Won |
1029 | 988 | 56% | 2013-01-27 | Lost |
994 | 1019 | 46% | 2012-03-09 | Lost |
800 | 977 | 27% | 2011-12-03 | Won |
1001 | 989 | 52% | 2011-10-03 | Lost |
1062 | 1228 | 28% | 2009-03-12 | Lost |
904 | 925 | 47% | 2009-03-12 | Lost |
880 | 1063 | 26% | 2008-10-01 | Won |
1030 | 1005 | 54% | 2008-09-09 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 992.5 vs 1043.4 has a 42.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).