Edge of Extinction
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37 (9 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 22
Defender wins (German): 15
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1012 | 1084 | 40% | 2023-06-16 | Lost |
780 | 994 | 23% | 2021-12-31 | Lost |
1127 | 1032 | 63% | 2021-12-17 | Won |
991 | 1160 | 27% | 2017-10-08 | Lost |
945 | 977 | 45% | 2012-10-01 | Won |
1089 | 1197 | 35% | 2010-09-30 | Won |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2009-12-26 | Won |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2009-12-26 | Lost |
904 | 925 | 47% | 2008-11-27 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1004.7 vs 1062.6 has a 41.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).