Into Vienna Woods
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 215 (47 on the archive and 168 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 108
Defender wins (Russian): 107
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
950 | 1084 | 32% | 2024-02-04 | Lost |
980 | 986 | 49% | 2024-01-13 | Lost |
1000 | 1216 | 22% | 2023-05-06 | Lost |
1013 | 1037 | 47% | 2022-10-15 | Won |
956 | 1062 | 35% | 2022-10-15 | Lost |
1153 | 991 | 72% | 2022-09-11 | Lost |
954 | 954 | 50% | 2022-05-07 | Won |
972 | 1159 | 25% | 2021-06-09 | Won |
992 | 1065 | 40% | 2021-01-12 | Won |
1017 | 938 | 61% | 2020-02-29 | Lost |
1057 | 1089 | 45% | 2020-02-20 | Won |
1115 | 1284 | 27% | 2018-10-03 | Lost |
894 | 919 | 46% | 2017-12-13 | Won |
1013 | 1109 | 37% | 2017-12-04 | Lost |
1013 | 1013 | 50% | 2017-09-30 | Lost |
1017 | 1017 | 50% | 2017-01-16 | Lost |
1013 | 1099 | 38% | 2017-01-13 | Lost |
1144 | 950 | 75% | 2017-01-06 | Lost |
851 | 986 | 31% | 2016-01-31 | Lost |
851 | 986 | 31% | 2016-01-31 | Lost |
1095 | 1128 | 45% | 2015-05-15 | Won |
1036 | 1108 | 40% | 2013-08-06 | Won |
967 | 967 | 50% | 2013-06-22 | Lost |
986 | 1138 | 29% | 2013-01-01 | Won |
890 | 1068 | 26% | 2012-11-24 | Lost |
890 | 1068 | 26% | 2012-11-24 | Lost |
950 | 1144 | 25% | 2012-03-08 | Won |
1045 | 990 | 58% | 2011-03-03 | Won |
1028 | 1125 | 36% | 2011-01-01 | Lost |
989 | 950 | 56% | 2010-06-18 | Lost |
963 | 1029 | 41% | 2010-04-10 | Lost |
1090 | 917 | 73% | 2009-10-07 | Won |
1087 | 1058 | 54% | 2009-09-19 | Won |
970 | 985 | 48% | 2009-06-24 | Won |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2009-06-15 | Lost |
1062 | 1005 | 58% | 2009-06-06 | Won |
1026 | 879 | 70% | 2009-05-23 | Won |
1093 | 932 | 72% | 2009-05-05 | Lost |
1108 | 1134 | 46% | 2009-03-22 | Won |
904 | 925 | 47% | 2009-03-15 | Won |
985 | 1073 | 38% | 2009-03-03 | Won |
1117 | 1087 | 54% | 2009-02-28 | Won |
998 | 1003 | 49% | 2009-02-27 | Won |
997 | 1110 | 34% | 2009-02-22 | Lost |
918 | 1003 | 38% | 2009-02-07 | Lost |
1083 | 1000 | 62% | 2009-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (22 wins) average ELOs: 1007.2 vs 1040.6 has a 45.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).