Rehearsal for Crete
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23 (4 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 19
Defender wins (Greek / New Zealand / Australian): 4
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1133 | 1133 | 50% | 2020-04-12 | Won |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2018-10-28 | Won |
1032 | 1204 | 27% | 2014-11-10 | Won |
1095 | 1095 | 50% | 2010-10-01 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1097.8 vs 1140.8 has a 43.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).