Unplanned Attack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (8 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 22
Defender wins (German): 12
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1026 | 993 | 55% | 2017-12-30 | Won |
1086 | 1307 | 22% | 2014-01-09 | Lost |
1264 | 1307 | 44% | 2013-08-30 | Lost |
1046 | 1097 | 43% | 2012-10-05 | Won |
869 | 1097 | 21% | 2012-09-23 | Won |
865 | 1093 | 21% | 2010-08-27 | Lost |
1093 | 1090 | 50% | 2010-02-18 | Lost |
1003 | 871 | 68% | 2009-06-23 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1031.5 vs 1106.9 has a 39.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).